Window JJA 2013–2025
Sources NASA POWER (T2M, T2M_MAX, T2M_MIN, TS, RH2M) · Open-Meteo Climate (CMIP6 SSP)
Resolution NASA POWER 0.5° × 0.5° grid · 70 cells across UAE bbox + per-emirate centroids
Pipeline scripts/fetch-atlas.mjs → app/_data/atlas.json → static rebuild
Abstract
Area-weighted UAE JJA 2 m air temperature moved by +0.07 °C year⁻¹ over 2013–2025 from NASA POWER daily records at seven emirate centroids. The arid-coast signal — nighttime warming outpacing daytime — is visible in the per-emirate T-min trends on the Atlas tab.
FINDING 01
Hottest emirate JJA T2M_MAX: 40.8 °C · Sharjah.
FINDING 02
Fastest-warming emirate (T2M, OLS): Abu Dhabi at +0.07 °C/yr.
FINDING 03
Days > 45 °C projected to rise from 0 → 2 under SSP5-8.5 (CMIP6 via Open-Meteo).
Regional context
UAE emirates set against GCC capital cities
Abu Dhabi
UAE
35.6°C
+0.08 °C/yr
Dubai
UAE
36.2°C
+0.07 °C/yr
Doha
Qatar
37.3°C
+0.09 °C/yr
Riyadh
Saudi Arabia
37.5°C
+0.12 °C/yr
Jeddah
Saudi Arabia
37.3°C
+0.07 °C/yr
Kuwait City
Kuwait
36.3°C
+0.12 °C/yr
Manama
Bahrain
33.9°C
+0.08 °C/yr
Muscat
Oman
37.2°C
+0.01 °C/yr
Mean JJA surface skin temperature (TS) at each city centroid, averaged over the bake's window. Trends are per-city OLS slopes on the annual JJA means. Drill into the UAE emirates on the Atlas tab.